With Democrats in 170 legislative seats, Republicans in 169, and even Libertarians filing in 35 legislative districts, 2018 is shaping up to be one of the most pivotal legislative elections in North Carolina history. And with no race on the ballot above Supreme Court, these elections will get more attention than ever before.
This report combines an analysis of district voting data, national and state polling plus qualitative factors like local issues and relative candidate strength. In total, we think that 35 House races and 13 Senate races are shaping up to have competitive campaigns run by both of the major parties in districts that could conceivably go to either. We have also identified a handful of other races worth keeping an eye on for other reasons.
We’ll look at the 35 House races and 13 Senate races we think will be the most competitive in the fall and a handfull of other races we think will be interesting to watch for other reasons. Read the House report here and the Senate report here.Read More
This installment of Real Facts NC’s legislator profile series focuses on Senator Joel Ford, a Democrat from Mecklenburg County. Ford, a self-proclaimed “recovering entrepreneur” who has bought and sold several businesses, was elected to the NC Senate in 2012 after a brief stint as a political consultant. Ford, formerly a VP of the embattled Cardinal Innovations Healthcare, came in a distant third in Charlotte’s 2017 mayoral election.
Ford took an anti-LGBTQ stance during the HB2 controversy and aftermath, even sponsoring a failed repeal bill based on an indefinite moratorium for nondiscrimination ordinances. During the Charlotte mayoral race, Ford responded to a constituent who expressed concerns about his record on LGBTQ issues with a gif of a dog pooping. Ford’s record of looking out for himself first has been proven time and time again. Read more here.
"We need to be sensitive to religious freedom and respecting individual rights, and that has proven to be difficult because of people who look for tolerance while they themselves are intolerant” – Joel Ford, 3/25/15
In this Real Facts Legislator Profile, we focus on Ted Davis Jr., the Republican representative from House District 19. Before his 2012 election to the General Assembly, Davis served on the New Hanover Board of County Commissioners for 16 years. Davis claimed to be a “lifelong Democrat” before crossing party lines after being approached by the Republican Party to run for County Commissioner back in 1996. Davis ran unopposed in 2016.
Davis currently serves on seven legislative committees. He serves as chair of Appropriations on Justice and Public Safety Committee and Judiciary Committee I and vice chair of Appropriations Committee and Committee of Rules, Calendar, and Operations of the House. He is also a member of the Commerce and Job Development, Education- Universities and Elections and Ethics Law Committees. More recently, he was named Senior Chairman of the House Select Committee on River Water Quality, formed in late 2017 to address the GenX issue. Read more on Davis here.
“All I know is that we’re doing something” –Rep. Ted Davis on GenX bill. (WRAL, 1/10/18)
Davis, whose district is specifically affected by GenX contamination, was named Senior Chairman of the House Select Committee on River Water Quality. Yet he was reluctant to add funding to the DEQ and voted for a budget which decreased appropriations to the Clean Water Management Trust.
Davis was a primary sponsor of HB2, a discriminatory bill that cost NC upward of $630 million. He also supported follow-up “compromise bills” that would have put civil rights on the ballot by making nondiscrimination ordinances subject to referendum.
Davis voted for the 2017 budget which prioritized tax cuts over funding education and has reinforced the idea that NC is paying its teachers enough despite NC falling below average on teacher and student spending.and students.
In this Real Facts Legislator Profile, we focus on Representative Bill Brawley, a Republican from House District 103, first elected to the General Assembly in 2010. Brawley moved to Matthews, N.C. in 1982 and was a Matthews town commissioner from 1989 to 1993.
Brawley is a real estate broker. As a legislator, he supported bills that favor the real estate business over the public. Read more on Brawley here.
Brawley proudly supports private school vouchers that siphon money from our public school system
“I will tell you I’m disappointed in the quality of the education my kids received,” --Brawley said of Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools. (Charlotte Observer, 1/5/18)
Brawley is a real estate broker. As a legislator, he supported bills that favor the business over people, putting renters and the public at risk.
In this Real Facts Legislator Profile, we focus on Representative John Bradford, the Republican from House District 98. Before joining the General Assembly, Bradford was elected to the Cornelius Town Board in 2011. While there, he sought to cancel elections and have the town board elected every three years instead of two.
Bradford was one of the co-sponsors of HB2. One year later, he co-sponsored a failed HB2 repeal bill that would make local anti-discrimination measures subject to a public referendum.
“I voted to restore common sense regulations for North Carolina citizen’s rights to privacy in bathrooms and changing facilities.” – Rep. John Bradford, after voting for HB2 (The Herald Weekly, 03/31/16; The Southern Pines Pilot, 05/21/16)
Bradford has shown time and again that he believes tax cuts are more important than public education. Bradford said, “spending more in education will not magically solve the problems we are facing” and “we need to continue holding everyone accountable and find ways to cut bureaucratic and unnecessary expenses that we incur outside the classroom.” He voted for the 2017 Republican budget that continues the trend of cutting taxes for the wealth few rather than raising per pupil spending. Bradford said “we need to financially reward our best and brightest educators” but voted for the Republican budget that gives beginning teachers no raise, and only a 0.6 percent raise to experienced teachers and per pupil spending has actually gone down in the budgets he voted on. Read more on Bradford here.Read More
In the next two installments of Real Facts NC's series of legislator profiles we focus on Charlotte-area representatives Scott Stone and Andy Dulin.
Stone was appointed to the District 105 seat by former Gov. Pat McCrory in 2016 and is currently serving his first full term after winning the election in November. Before serving in the NC House, Stone had tried and failed at least three times to enter the world of politics: he ran for the Arlington County Board in 1996 and ran for Charlotte mayor in 2011 and 2015. Rep. Scott Stone did not think the NCGA should change HB2 until Charlotte changed its own ordinance, even though HB2 cost Charlotte at least $100 million and he opposed all parts of Charlotte’s non-discrimination ordinance, including protection for LGBT community. Stone claims he is concerned about education, but supported a Republican budget that shortchanges NC teachers and students. Read more on Stone here.
Similarly, Dulin was elected to the District 104 seat in 2016 and is currently serving his first full term. Before serving in the NC House, Dulin tried and failed at least three times to enter the world of politics outside the Charlotte City Council. He ran for the Mecklenburg County Commission in 2004, ran for NC Senate in the 2008 primary, and Congress in 2012. Dulin is an out-of-touch member of Charlotte’s elite, putting his own advancement above the will of constituents and pushing the needs of corporations over students and teachers. Additionally, Dulin supported a measure that would make nondiscrimination ordinances subject to referendum less than a year after HB2 cost Charlotte millions. Read more on Dulin here.Read More
Governor McCrory signed HB2, as a result, many major US corporations, including Apple, Google, Twitter, American Airlines have publically condemned this decision. The backlash from the business and sports communities has been overwhelming and swift. Here are the facts: IBM, a large North …Read More
Immediate Action: McCrory threatened “immediate state legislative intervention” before passage of Charlotte ordinance. (Charlotte Observer, 2/22/16) It can wait: McCrory said lawmakers should wait until short session in late April to deal with Charlotte Ordinance …Read More