With Democrats in 170 legislative seats, Republicans in 169, and even Libertarians filing in 35 legislative districts, 2018 is shaping up to be one of the most pivotal legislative elections in North Carolina history. And with no race on the ballot above Supreme Court, these elections will get more attention than ever before.
This report combines an analysis of district voting data, national and state polling plus qualitative factors like local issues and relative candidate strength. In total, we think that 35 House races and 13 Senate races are shaping up to have competitive campaigns run by both of the major parties in districts that could conceivably go to either. We have also identified a handful of other races worth keeping an eye on for other reasons.
We’ll look at the 35 House races and 13 Senate races we think will be the most competitive in the fall and a handfull of other races we think will be interesting to watch for other reasons. Read the House report here and the Senate report here.Read More
Forest, during a Facebook Live he hosted on Wednesday, commended the “great job” the General Assembly has done drawing maps.
“The General Assembly has done a great job complying with the rules of the courts to draw these districts.”
An out-of-state PAC is pitting all-but-announced gubernatorial candidate Dan Forest against U.S. Senator Thom Tillis in paid Facebook ads. The intent of the Florida-based Principled Leadership Fund PAC is unclear. But what is clear is that conservative circles are talking about Tillis making a run for Governor in 2020—only two and a half years into his first term. Being in Washington doesn’t seem to be all Sen. Thom Tillis thought it would be.
Pat McCrory is still coping with his loss last year to Roy Cooper. He recently told WRAL that it has been a “tough transition to leave a job he loved.”
In less than a year, the voters of North Carolina rejected him, academia rejected him, and the Trump administration rejected him.
Even the Trump family wedding planner got a job overseeing “billions of federal dollars as the head of the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s New York and New Jersey office.” That has got to hurt.
What’s worse is his successor has been busy as a member of Donald Trump’s Commission on Combating Drug Addiction and the Opioid Crisis, working to solve a crisis with an administration McCrory has been so eager to join.
With his employment prospects bleak, McCrory has now decided to torment all of us with a Carolina Comeback that no one asked for, saying "I'd be foolish not to reconsider coming back.”
Senate Leader Phil Berger could be eyeing a change in job title in 2020. Berger was first elected to the State Senate in 2000. He became Senate Minority Leader in 2004 and President Pro Tem in 2010. Could he be looking to rise to a new level in 2020? It certainly seems like Berger could be laying the groundwork for the next statewide election.
GOP circles have been buzzing for weeks with speculation about who might run for Governor in 2020. The leading names so far have been Dan Forest and Thom Tillis. Others think Phil Berger is interested in the job. But in the last month, former governor Pat McCrory is making waves.
Conservative bloggers have noticed the former governor's increased social media presence.
Last week while making an appearance at a pro-am golf tournament in Wilmington, McCrory teased that he’ll take a larger public role soon. “I’m going to have some input in the near future about what’s working and what’s not working,” he told WWAY.
It’s no secret that Lt. Gov. Dan Forest wants to be Governor. At a local GOP event in Craven County, he all but made it official. According to the New Bern Sun Journal on February 28, Forest “predicted that, in four years, he would be governor.”
This week Forest told Tim Boyum, “I’d love to be governor someday.”
He may be the first Republican to openly talk about a 2020 bid for Governor, but he won’t be the last.Read More