2020 Legislative Races to Watch: August Update
2020 is shaping up to be one of the most pivotal legislative elections in North Carolina history. Democrats have a clear path to win majorities in both chambers of the legislature after historic pickups last cycle broke Republican supermajorities. With a decennial census and subsequent redistricting coming up, control of the legislature will impact not only the next two years, but also the next decade of North Carolina policy. Competitive races for Governor and a US Senate seat are gaining significant media attention and the state is becoming a key presidential battleground. In totality, these races represent major change from last cycle’s blue moon election with no top of the ticket races.
This report highlights the 24 House and 14 Senate districts most likely to be competitive this cycle. This assessment incorporates candidate fundraising information where available, detailed analysis of new legislative districts (including past Democratic performance and demographic information), and other qualitative data about each candidate.
These are analyses, not endorsements: these are the seats we think could be likely to change parties after the election, but this report shouldn't be taken as an indication of support of any one candidate over another.
NOTE: Campaign finance information in this report includes election-to-date totals through June 30, 2020. Candidates missing campaign finance information below had not reported to NCSBE at the time this report was published. We will update this report when new campaign finance data becomes available this summer. Visit this website for regular updates.
Take a closer look at the 14 Senate seats, six of which would be Democratic pickups and four of which would be Republican pickups. Democrats need to pick up a net five seats to win a majority in the Senate.
Below, take a closer look at the 24 House races to watch, 11 of which would be Democratic pickups and 11 of which would be Republican pickups. Democrats need to pick up a net six seats to win a majority in the House.